The man who trades freedom for security does not deserve nor will he ever receive either.
– Benjamin Franklin
Friday, October 29, 2010
Wednesday, October 6, 2010
Monday, August 23, 2010
Saturday, August 7, 2010
Top Financial Scams
http://www.snopes.com/fraud/topscams.asp
I always find these amusing and they are worthy of your awareness.
I received a family member (friend) in distress email recently. The email seems almost possible at first until you think - why would this person be emailing me instead of calling a much more relevant person? The more relevant person knows, of course, that his mother is NOT in England on a trip.
I always find these amusing and they are worthy of your awareness.
I received a family member (friend) in distress email recently. The email seems almost possible at first until you think - why would this person be emailing me instead of calling a much more relevant person? The more relevant person knows, of course, that his mother is NOT in England on a trip.
Sunday, June 27, 2010
Sunday, June 13, 2010
Thursday, June 10, 2010
Future Expected Stock Market Returns
Stock market returns have (theoretically at least) 3 components:
This may seem surprisingly low to some who recall long-term rates of return for stocks in the 9% to 11% range. However, long-term rates of inflation are about 4.7% and the sum of the three components using that inflation rate is 10.2%.
So don't be shocked if nominal (including inflation) stock market returns in the current environment are lower that you remember. Do remember that what you get to spend is the real return (returns after adjustment for inflation) which is expected to be about 5.5% in both environments.
- Rate of Inflation
- Risk Free Rate
- Equity Premium
This may seem surprisingly low to some who recall long-term rates of return for stocks in the 9% to 11% range. However, long-term rates of inflation are about 4.7% and the sum of the three components using that inflation rate is 10.2%.
So don't be shocked if nominal (including inflation) stock market returns in the current environment are lower that you remember. Do remember that what you get to spend is the real return (returns after adjustment for inflation) which is expected to be about 5.5% in both environments.
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