Ginger enjoys a leisurely breakfast
http://www.youtube.com/user/sawith65#p/c/CFDBAB87BCE3AD48/3/HaAVZ2yXDBo
Sunday, June 27, 2010
Sunday, June 13, 2010
Thursday, June 10, 2010
Future Expected Stock Market Returns
Stock market returns have (theoretically at least) 3 components:
This may seem surprisingly low to some who recall long-term rates of return for stocks in the 9% to 11% range. However, long-term rates of inflation are about 4.7% and the sum of the three components using that inflation rate is 10.2%.
So don't be shocked if nominal (including inflation) stock market returns in the current environment are lower that you remember. Do remember that what you get to spend is the real return (returns after adjustment for inflation) which is expected to be about 5.5% in both environments.
- Rate of Inflation
- Risk Free Rate
- Equity Premium
This may seem surprisingly low to some who recall long-term rates of return for stocks in the 9% to 11% range. However, long-term rates of inflation are about 4.7% and the sum of the three components using that inflation rate is 10.2%.
So don't be shocked if nominal (including inflation) stock market returns in the current environment are lower that you remember. Do remember that what you get to spend is the real return (returns after adjustment for inflation) which is expected to be about 5.5% in both environments.
Basics of the Smart Investor
Smart investors maintain a long-term perspective, stay diversified, and don't react emotionally to every fluctuation.
- NAPFA Planning Perspective May-June 2010
- NAPFA Planning Perspective May-June 2010
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)